Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 3.352988e-05 4.007695e-05 0.000047 0.000055 0.000064 0.000074 0.000086
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 2.578550e-05 3.445820e-05 0.000045 0.000057 0.000072 0.000088 0.000108
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 1.921489e-05 2.858439e-05 0.000040 0.000055 0.000074 0.000096 0.000124
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 1.517135e-05 2.491894e-05 0.000038 0.000055 0.000078 0.000106 0.000141
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 1.141448e-05 2.085179e-05 0.000034 0.000053 0.000079 0.000111 0.000153
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 8.754628e-06 1.779257e-05 0.000031 0.000052 0.000080 0.000116 0.000165
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 7.051143e-06 1.584466e-05 0.000030 0.000051 0.000082 0.000123 0.000180
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 5.499880e-06 1.380290e-05 0.000028 0.000050 0.000084 0.000128 0.000191
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 4.310893e-06 1.212477e-05 0.000026 0.000049 0.000085 0.000134 0.000203
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 3.313126e-06 1.055366e-05 0.000024 0.000048 0.000086 0.000138 0.000214
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 2.418557e-06 8.923245e-06 0.000022 0.000046 0.000085 0.000140 0.000221
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 1.672813e-06 7.353222e-06 0.000020 0.000044 0.000083 0.000141 0.000227
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 1.077774e-06 5.997352e-06 0.000018 0.000042 0.000084 0.000146 0.000239
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 8.208881e-07 5.503449e-06 0.000018 0.000044 0.000089 0.000158 0.000263
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 4.969113e-07 4.501413e-06 0.000016 0.000042 0.000090 0.000163 0.000277
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 3.182901e-07 3.879726e-06 0.000015 0.000042 0.000092 0.000171 0.000296
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.569432e-07 3.044722e-06 0.000014 0.000041 0.000092 0.000175 0.000307
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 7.140919e-08 2.425905e-06 0.000013 0.000039 0.000092 0.000179 0.000320
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 3.379058e-08 2.055798e-06 0.000012 0.000039 0.000094 0.000187 0.000338
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.091420e-08 1.653683e-06 0.000011 0.000038 0.000095 0.000192 0.000352
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.298380e-09 1.334925e-06 0.000010 0.000038 0.000096 0.000198 0.000367
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 1.033726e-10 1.046562e-06 0.000009 0.000037 0.000097 0.000202 0.000380
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 7.636213e-07 0.000008 0.000035 0.000096 0.000204 0.000390